What are the effects of forecasting linear time series with neural networks?

M. C. Medeiros, C. E. Pedreira

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The performance of the neural networks estimated with Bayesian regularization to model and forecast time series was studied where the data generating process was linear. The technique of Bayesian regularization was designed to avoid overfitting to obtain balance between the number of parameters. Forecasts with larger RMSE and MAE statistics were produced in small samples, neural networks.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)237-242
Number of pages6
JournalInternational Journal of Engineering Intelligent Systems for Electrical Engineering and Communications
Volume9
Issue number4
StatePublished - Dec 2001
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Bayesian regularization
  • Neural networks
  • Nonlinear forecasting
  • Nonlinear time series

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Computer Science Applications
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering

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