@article{7dca848b48654fd792f1bb5ca533c4d7,
title = "Understanding interactions between urban development policies and GHG emissions: A case study in Stockholm Region",
abstract = "Human-induced urban growth and sprawl have implications for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that may not be included in conventional GHG accounting methods. Improved understanding of this issue requires use of interactive, spatial-explicit social–ecological systems modeling. This paper develops a comprehensive approach to modeling GHG emissions from urban developments, considering Stockholm County, Sweden as a case study. GHG projections to 2040 with a social–ecological system model yield overall greater emissions than simple extrapolations in official climate action planning. The most pronounced difference in emissions (39% higher) from energy use single-residence buildings resulting from urban sprawl. And this difference is not accounted for in the simple extrapolations. Scenario results indicate that a zoning policy, restricting urban development in certain areas, can mitigate 72% of the total emission effects of the model-projected urban sprawl. The study outcomes include a decision support interface for communicating results and policy implications with policymakers.",
keywords = "Climate change, Greenhouse gas emissions, Land-use change, Planning support system, Social–ecological system, Stockholm",
author = "Haozhi Pan and Jessica Page and Le Zhang and Cong Cong and Carla Ferreira and Elisie Jonsson and Helena N{\"a}sstr{\"o}m and Georgia Destouni and Brian Deal and Zahra Kalantari",
note = "Funding Information: Open access funding provided by Stockholm University. The work is?supported by funding from the Swedish Research Council Formas (grant number 2016-02045 and 2017-00608) and LS2018-0736 from Stockholm County (in Swedish: Stockholm l?ns landsting) and from the European Commission (project COASTAL, 773782). This work is also?supported by the Portuguese Science and Technology Foundation, through the Post-Doctoral Fellowship SFRH/BPD/120093/2016.?We thank Michael Erman from Regeringskansliet (the cabinet office) for generation of new ideas. Funding Information: Open access funding provided by Stockholm University. The work is supported by funding from the Swedish Research Council Formas (grant number 2016-02045 and 2017-00608) and LS2018-0736 from Stockholm County (in Swedish: Stockholm l{\"a}ns landsting) and from the European Commission (project COASTAL, 773782). This work is also supported by the Portuguese Science and Technology Foundation, through the Post-Doctoral Fellowship SFRH/BPD/120093/2016. We thank Michael Erman from Regeringskansliet (the cabinet office) for generation of new ideas. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2019, The Author(s).",
year = "2020",
month = jul,
day = "15",
doi = "10.1007/s13280-019-01290-y",
language = "English (US)",
volume = "49",
pages = "1313--1327",
journal = "Ambio",
issn = "0044-7447",
publisher = "Allen Press Inc.",
number = "7",
}