@techreport{2734a98bdfa54cb98e066ac019a5292a,
title = "The effect of eviction moratoria on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2",
abstract = "Massive unemployment during the COVID-19 pandemic could result in an eviction crisis in US cities. Here we model the effect of evictions on SARS-CoV-2 epidemics, simulating viral transmission within and among households in a theoretical metropolitan area. We recreate a range of urban epidemic trajectories and project the course of the epidemic under two counterfactual scenarios, one in which a strict moratorium on evictions is in place and enforced, and another in which evictions are allowed to resume at baseline or increased rates. We find, across scenarios, that evictions lead to significant increases in infections. Applying our model to Philadelphia using locally-specific parameters shows that the increase is especially profound in models that consider realistically heterogenous cities in which both evictions and contacts occur more frequently in poorer neighborhoods. Our results provide a basis to assess municipal eviction moratoria and show that policies to stem evictions are a warranted and important component of COVID-19 control.",
keywords = "Coronavirus, COVID-19, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), Novel coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, Pandemic",
author = "Anjalika Nande and Justin Sheen and Walters, {Emma L} and Brennan Klein and Matteo Chinazzi and Andrei Gheorghe and Ben Adlam and Julianna Shinnick and Tejeda, {Maria Florencia} and Scarpino, {Samuel V} and Alessandro Vespignani and Andrew Greenlee and Daniel Schneider and Levy, {Michael Z.} and Hill, {Alison L}",
note = "This work was supported by grants from the US National Institutes of Health DP5OD019851 (ALH), R01AI146129 (MZL). MC and AV acknowledge support from COVID Supplement CDC-HHS-6U01IP001137-01 and from Google Cloud and Google Cloud Research Credits program to fund this project.",
year = "2020",
month = nov,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1101/2020.10.27.20220897",
language = "English (US)",
series = "medRxiv",
publisher = "Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press",
address = "United States",
type = "WorkingPaper",
institution = "Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press",
}