The Distribution of Futures Prices: A Test of the Stable Paretian and Mixture of Normals Hypotheses

Joyce A. Hall, B. Wade Brorsen, Scott H. Irwin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Two alternate hypotheses, the stable Paretian and mixture of normals, have been proposed to explain the observed thick-tailed distributions of futures price movements. The two hypotheses are tested by applying the stability-under-addition test of stable distribution parameters to twenty lengthy time series of changes in daily closing futures prices. Tests are conducted on both the original data series and randomized data. The results offer support for the mixture of normals hypothesis.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)105-116
Number of pages12
JournalJournal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Volume24
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 1989
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Accounting
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

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