Tests for nonlinear restrictions under misspecified alternatives with an application to testing rational expectation hypotheses

Anil Bera, Gabriel Montes-Rojas, Walter Sosa-Escudero, Javier Alejo

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This paper develops generalized method of moments-based (GMM-based) Lagrange multiplier tests for nonlinear hypotheses that are robust to locally misspecified possibly nonlinear alternatives. The procedure is based on an initial consistent GMM estimator of the parameters under a given set of nonlinear restrictions. The new test for one particular set of nonlinear hypotheses is consistent and has correct asymptotic size independently of whether the other, also nonlinear hypotheses, are correct or locally misspecified. To illustrate the usefulness of our proposed tests we consider testing rational expectations hypotheses using U.S. data.
Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)41-57
Number of pages17
JournalEconometrics Journal
Volume24
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2021

Keywords

  • GMM
  • Lagrange multiplier tests
  • Rao's score tests
  • local misspecification
  • nonlinear testing functions
  • specification testing

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics and Econometrics

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