Structural reliability: Assessing the condition and reliability of casing in compacting reservoirs

Prasongsit Chantose, Paolo Gardoni, Jerome Schubert, Catalin Teodoriu

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Casing has a higher likelihood of failure in compacting reservoir than in a typical reservoir. Casing fails because reservoir compaction induces compression and shear stresses onto it. The compaction occurs as reservoir pressure depletes during production. High compacted reservoirs typically are composed of unconsolidated, overpressured rocks such as chalk, diatomite, and sandstone. Pore pressure depletion increases effective stress, which is the rock matrix stress pushing upward against overburden pressure. Effective stress may exceed rock compressive strength, inducing compaction. Wells in compacting reservoirs are likely to fail and to have high deformation rates. This paper introduces the concept of structural reliability to quantify the probability of casing failure in compacting reservoirs. Probabilistic models for casing capacities are developed using current design methods and a reservoir compaction load observed using finite-element model simulations. The proposed probabilistic models are used to define two limit-states functions used in predicting the probability of casing failure for two possible modes of failure: axial yielding and buckling failures. A limit-state function describes the casing condition as the casing experiences a reservoir compaction load. The limit state function is the input in component and system analyses for estimating the probabilities of failure as reservoir pressure is depleting. Sensitivity and importance analyses are also performed to determine the role and significant of parameters and random variables affecting the casing reliability. Applying the knowledge produced from this research to casing design can improve design reliabilities and forecast the probability of casing failure in compacting reservoirs.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationInternational Petroleum Technology Conference 2011, IPTC 2011
PublisherInternational Petroleum Technology Conference (IPTC)
ISBN (Print)9781613991480
DOIs
StatePublished - 2011
EventInternational Petroleum Technology Conference 2011, IPTC 2011 - Bangkok, Thailand
Duration: Nov 15 2011Nov 17 2011

Publication series

NameInternational Petroleum Technology Conference 2011, IPTC 2011

Other

OtherInternational Petroleum Technology Conference 2011, IPTC 2011
CountryThailand
CityBangkok
Period11/15/1111/17/11

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Fuel Technology
  • Geochemistry and Petrology
  • Geophysics
  • Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology

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