Abstract
It is commonly accepted that certain financial data exhibit long-range dependence. We consider a continuous-time stochastic volatility model in which the stock price is Geometric Brownian Motion with volatility described by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We also study two discrete-time models: a discretization of the continuous model via a Euler scheme and a discrete model in which the returns are a zero mean i.i.d. sequence where the volatility is a fractional ARIMA process. We implement a particle filtering algorithm to estimate the empirical distribution of the unobserved volatility, which we then use in the construction of a multinomial recombining tree for option pricing. We also discuss appropriate parameter estimation techniques for each model. For the long-memory parameter we compute an implied value by calibrating the model with real data. We compare the performance of the three models using simulated data and we price options on the S&P 500 index.
Original language | English (US) |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 635-649 |
Number of pages | 15 |
Journal | Quantitative Finance |
Volume | 12 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Apr 2012 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Estimation
- Long memory
- Multinomial tree
- Option pricing
- Particle filtering
- Stochastic volatility
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- General Economics, Econometrics and Finance
- Finance