Revisiting the ∪-shaped patterns in volatility and price impacts: Novel results using trade-time estimates

Yashar H. Barardehi, Dan Bernhardt

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

When measured using trade-time aggregation, intraday patterns in trading activity remain ∪-shaped, but estimates of volatility and Kyle's lambda fall sharply from open to close. ∪-shaped patterns in volatility and Kyle's lambda found using commonly-used calendar-time aggregation reflect over-aggregation biases when trading activity is high as near the open and close. Indicative of imperfectly-competitive liquidity provision, trade-time aggregation also reveals that in active markets, expected trade imbalances are positively priced and unexpected trade imbalances are more strongly priced when they share the sign of expected imbalances, while in less active markets expected trade imbalances are negatively priced.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number100971
JournalJournal of Financial Markets
Volume74
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2025

Keywords

  • Calendar time
  • Intraday trading
  • Kyle's lambda
  • Liquidity provision
  • Trade time
  • Volatility

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

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