Quantification of Multiple Climate Change and Human Activity Impact Factors on Flood Regimes in the Pearl River Delta of China

Yihan Tang, Shufeng Xi, Xiaohong Chen, Yanqing Lian

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Coastal flood regimes have been irreversibly altered by both climate change and human activities. This paper aims to quantify the impacts of multiple factors on delta flood. The Pearl River Delta (PRD), with dense river network and population, is one of the most developed coastal areas in China. The recorded extreme water level (m.s.l.) in flood season has been heavily interfered with by varied income flood flow, sea-level rise, and dredged riverbeds. A methodology, composed of a numerical model and the index R, has been developed to quantify the impacts of these driving factors in the the PRD. Results show that the flood level varied 4.29%-53.49% from the change of fluvial discharge, 3.35%-38.73% from riverbed dredging, and 0.12%-16.81% from sea-level rise. The variation of flood flow apparently takes the most effect and sea-level rise the least. In particular, dense river network intensifies the impact of income flood change and sea-level rise. Findings from this study help understand the causes of the the PRD flood regimes and provide theoretical support for flood protection in the delta region.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number3928920
JournalAdvances in Meteorology
Volume2016
DOIs
StatePublished - 2016

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geophysics
  • Pollution
  • Atmospheric Science

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