Abstract
The problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of an arbitrary, sequentially observed, continuous-path stochastic process is considered and the optimality of the CUSUM test is established with respect to a modified version of Lorden's criterion. We apply this result to the case that a random drift emerges in a fractional Brownian motion and we show that the CUSUM test optimizes Lorden's original criterion when a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index H adopts a polynomial drift term with exponent H + 1 2 .
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 29-41 |
Number of pages | 13 |
Journal | Journal of Applied Probability |
Volume | 50 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Mar 2013 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- CUSUM
- Change-point detection
- Diffusion-type process
- Fractional brownian motion
- Fractional ornstein-uhlenbeck
- Optimality
- Sequential change detection
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Statistics and Probability
- Mathematics(all)
- Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty