Nuclear's role in 21st century pacific rim energy use

Clifford Singer, J'Tia Taylor

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution


Extrapolations contrast the future of nuclear energy use in Japan and the Republic of Korea (ROK) to that of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Japan can expect a gradual rise in the nuclear fraction of a nearly constant total energy use rate as the use of fossil fuels declines. ROK nuclear energy rises gradually with total energy use. ASEAN's total nuclear energy use rate can rapidly approach that of the ROK if Indonesia and Vietnam make their current nuclear energy targets by 2020, but experience elsewhere suggests that nuclear energy growth may be slower than planned. Extrapolations are based on econometric calibration to a utility optimization model of the impact of growth of population, gross domestic product, total energy use, and cumulative fossil carbon use. Fractions of total energy use from fluid fossil fuels, coal, water-driven electrical power production, nuclear energy, and wind and solar electric energy sources are fit to market fractions data. Where historical data is insufficient for extrapolation, plans for non-fossil energy are used as a guide. Extrapolations suggest much more U.S. nuclear energy and spent nuclear fuel generation than for the ROK and ASEAN until beyond the first half of the twenty-first century.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationGLOBAL 2007
Subtitle of host publicationAdvanced Nuclear Fuel Cycles and Systems
Number of pages10
StatePublished - Dec 1 2007
EventGLOBAL 2007: Advanced Nuclear Fuel Cycles and Systems - Boise, ID, United States
Duration: Sep 9 2007Sep 13 2007

Publication series

NameGLOBAL 2007: Advanced Nuclear Fuel Cycles and Systems


OtherGLOBAL 2007: Advanced Nuclear Fuel Cycles and Systems
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityBoise, ID

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
  • Fuel Technology
  • Nuclear Energy and Engineering


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