An autoregressive (AR) model is used to predict the future position of a maneuvering tank for the purpose of designing the gun fire control systems. A forecasting procedure that can be implemented on-line is developed based on the relative velocity model. One hundred and eighty segments of six tanks' trajectories along x and y axes are analyzed. The results of 2 sec. forecast of 6 tank positions' indicated that on average, the predicted values deviate from the actual positions by less than 2 meters for about 48% of the time ranging from 15% (2 out of 15 segments) for a XM800 scout vehicle (tank #4) to 93% (14 out of 15) for a M60 (tank #2) tank. The forecasting results of tank #3 also showed an improvement in the average forecast by the proposed approach over Kalman algorithm.
|Original language||English (US)|
|Journal||Modeling and Simulation, Proceedings of the Annual Pittsburgh Conference|
|State||Published - Jan 1 1979|
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