TY - GEN
T1 - Mapping return values of extreme wind speeds
AU - Pintar, Adam L.
AU - Lombardo, Franklin T.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2013.
PY - 2013
Y1 - 2013
N2 - Structures subjected to wind loads must be designed to perform adequately from the points of view of stress and serviceability. Wind loading specified for design is based in part on the wind speeds affecting the site of interest. A particular quantity of interest in design is the N-year extreme wind speed, regardless of its direction, at a location of interest, defined by its longitude and latitude. Wind maps consisting of isotachs for N-year extreme wind speeds defined in building codes and standards are therefore required for structural design purposes. Alternatively, numerical versions of maps can be developed wherein automatic interpolations are performed that yield the N-year speeds at points defined by longitude and latitude. The raw data to be analyzed to develop the map are irregular time series of wind speeds above a specified threshold at multiple wind reporting stations. This work presents a two-stage approach to creating the map. The first stage involves the estimation of the parameters of an extreme value distribution at each station. In the second stage an interpolant based on the estimated parameters is created so that the N-year extremewind speedsmay be estimated at the geographical coordinates of interest. Standard errors and confidence bounds for the estimates are calculated using a non-parametric bootstrap algorithm. Results are presented for a region within Kansas, and those results are compared to the ASCE 7-10 Standard over the same region.
AB - Structures subjected to wind loads must be designed to perform adequately from the points of view of stress and serviceability. Wind loading specified for design is based in part on the wind speeds affecting the site of interest. A particular quantity of interest in design is the N-year extreme wind speed, regardless of its direction, at a location of interest, defined by its longitude and latitude. Wind maps consisting of isotachs for N-year extreme wind speeds defined in building codes and standards are therefore required for structural design purposes. Alternatively, numerical versions of maps can be developed wherein automatic interpolations are performed that yield the N-year speeds at points defined by longitude and latitude. The raw data to be analyzed to develop the map are irregular time series of wind speeds above a specified threshold at multiple wind reporting stations. This work presents a two-stage approach to creating the map. The first stage involves the estimation of the parameters of an extreme value distribution at each station. In the second stage an interpolant based on the estimated parameters is created so that the N-year extremewind speedsmay be estimated at the geographical coordinates of interest. Standard errors and confidence bounds for the estimates are calculated using a non-parametric bootstrap algorithm. Results are presented for a region within Kansas, and those results are compared to the ASCE 7-10 Standard over the same region.
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U2 - 10.1007/978-1-4614-8981-8_19
DO - 10.1007/978-1-4614-8981-8_19
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84945937853
SN - 9781461489801
T3 - Lecture Notes in Statistics
SP - 383
EP - 404
BT - Risk Assessment and Evaluation of Predictions
A2 - Gandy, Axel
A2 - Satten, Glen
A2 - Gail, Mitchell
A2 - Pfeiffer, Ruth
A2 - Cai, Tianxi
A2 - Lee, Mei-Ling Ting
PB - Springer
T2 - International conference on Risk Assessment and Evaluation of Predictions, 2011
Y2 - 12 October 2011 through 14 October 2011
ER -