@inproceedings{756ea1962ba8434b82a05b16357661cf,
title = "IPath: Forecasting the pathway to impact",
abstract = "Forecasting the success of scientific work has been attracting extensive research attention in the recent years. It is often of key importance to foresee the pathway to impact for scholarly entities for (1) tracking research frontier, (2) invoking an early intervention and (3) proactively allocating research resources. Many recent progresses have been seen in modeling the long-term scientific impact for point prediction. However, challenges still remain when it comes to forecasting the impact pathway. In this paper, we propose a novel predictive model to collectively achieve a set of design objectives to address these challenges, including prediction consistency and parameter smoothness. Extensive empirical evaluations on real scholarly data validate the effectiveness of the proposed model.",
author = "Liangyue Li and Hanghang Tong and Jie Tang and Wei Fan",
note = "This work is partially supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. IIS1017415, by the Army Research Laboratory under Cooperative Agreement Number W911NF-09-2-0053, by National Institutes of Health under the grant number R01LM011986, Region II University Transportation Center under the project number 49997-33 25 and a Baidu gift. Jie Tang is supported by the National High-tech R&D Program (No. 2014AA015103), National Basic Research Program of China (No. 2014CB340506), and a research fund supported by Huawei Inc.; 16th SIAM International Conference on Data Mining 2016, SDM 2016 ; Conference date: 05-05-2016 Through 07-05-2016",
year = "2016",
doi = "10.1137/1.9781611974348.53",
language = "English (US)",
series = "16th SIAM International Conference on Data Mining 2016, SDM 2016",
publisher = "Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Publications",
pages = "468--476",
editor = "Venkatasubramanian, {Sanjay Chawla} and Wagner Meira",
booktitle = "16th SIAM International Conference on Data Mining 2016, SDM 2016",
address = "United States",
}