Integrating the fragmented regional and subregional socioeconomic forecasting and analysis: A spatial regional econometric input-output framework

Jae Hong Kim, Geoffrey J.D. Hewings

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This study presents an integrated socioeconomic forecasting and analysis framework: a spatial regional econometric input-output model and its application to the Chicago metropolitan area. The new framework is designed to overcome some limitations of existing models, particularly (1) limited consideration of population-employment interactions and (2) dominance of top-down approach to vertical integration of regional and subregional variables. It captures local and lower level conditions and their effects on macroeconomic variables by using a modified disequilibrium adjustment model that incorporates subregional dynamics into a regional econometric input-output model in a reciprocal, interactive manner, as opposed to a top-down allocation process. The framework also considers both region-wide and subregional level population-employment interactions more systematically. It is demonstrated that the present model can support socioeconomic forecasting and a broad range of analyses, including the examinations of the macroeconomic impacts of local actions.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)485-513
Number of pages29
JournalAnnals of Regional Science
Issue number2
StatePublished - 2012

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General Environmental Science
  • General Social Sciences

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