Abstract
The high resolution storm-scale ensemble forecasting of deep convective storms was explored in the context of full numerical weather prediction (NWP). In this regard, the scaled lagged average ensemble forecasting (SLEF) technique was applied to the prediction of thunderstorms that occurred in north central Texas on 28 March, 2000, and that produced a tornado in Fort Worth. The goals of the analysis were to investigate the viability of SLAF in limited area multi-resolution forecasting of storm-scale weather, examine the effectiveness of ensemble forecasting in comparison to deterministic forecasts of convective storms, and devise appropriate measures of forecast verification for highly intermittent convective events.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 2423-2427 |
Number of pages | 5 |
Journal | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society |
State | Published - 2004 |
Externally published | Yes |
Event | Combined Preprints: 84th American Meteorological Society (AMS) Annual Meeting - Seattle, WA., United States Duration: Jan 11 2004 → Jan 15 2004 |
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Atmospheric Science