Hedging inventory risk through market instruments

Vishal Gaur, Sridhar Seshadri

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We address the problem of hedging inventory risk for a short life cycle or seasonal item when its demand is correlated with the price of a financial asset. We show how to construct optimal hedging transactions that minimize the variance of profit and increase the expected utility for a risk-averse decision maker. We show that for a wide range of hedging strategies and utility functions, a risk-averse decision maker orders more inventory when he or she hedges the inventory risk. Our results are useful to both risk-neutral and risk-averse decision makers because (1) the price information of the financial asset is used to determine both the optimal inventory level and the hedge, (2) this enables the decision maker to update the demand forecast and the financial hedge as more information becomes available, and (3) hedging leads to lower risk and higher return on inventory investment. We illustrate these benefits using data from a retailing firm.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)103-120
Number of pages18
JournalManufacturing and Service Operations Management
Volume7
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2005
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Demand forecasting
  • Financial hedging
  • Newsboy model
  • Real options; risk aversion

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Strategy and Management
  • Management Science and Operations Research

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Hedging inventory risk through market instruments'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this