Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries

Theresa Falkendal, Christian Otto, Jacob Schewe, Jonas Jägermeyr, Megan Konar, Matti Kummu, Ben Watkins, Michael J. Puma

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Global food security is threatened by the effects of COVID-19 on international agricultural supply chains and locusts destroying crops and livelihoods in the Horn of Africa and South Asia. We quantify the possible impacts on global supplies and prices of wheat, rice and maize. We show that local production declines have moderate impacts on global prices and supply—but trade restrictions and precautionary purchases by a few key actors could create global food price spikes and severe local food shortages.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)11-14
Number of pages4
JournalNature Food
Volume2
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2021

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Agronomy and Crop Science
  • Animal Science and Zoology
  • Food Science

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