@article{30834cdbcf05462fa7f4288c8387920a,
title = "Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries",
abstract = "Global food security is threatened by the effects of COVID-19 on international agricultural supply chains and locusts destroying crops and livelihoods in the Horn of Africa and South Asia. We quantify the possible impacts on global supplies and prices of wheat, rice and maize. We show that local production declines have moderate impacts on global prices and supply—but trade restrictions and precautionary purchases by a few key actors could create global food price spikes and severe local food shortages.",
author = "Theresa Falkendal and Christian Otto and Jacob Schewe and Jonas J{\"a}germeyr and Megan Konar and Matti Kummu and Ben Watkins and Puma, {Michael J.}",
note = "Funding Information: This work was supported by the Defense Advanced Research Project Agency under the World Modelers programme (grant W911NF1910013), the CASCADES (grant agreement no. 821010) and RECEIPT (grant agreement no. 820712) projects within the Horizon 2020 framework programme of the European Union, the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) under the research project SLICE (FKZ: 01LA1829A), and the European Research Council under the European Union{\textquoteright}s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agreement no. 819202). Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.",
year = "2021",
month = jan,
doi = "10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7",
language = "English (US)",
volume = "2",
pages = "11--14",
journal = "Nature Food",
issn = "2662-1355",
publisher = "Springer Nature",
number = "1",
}