Future emission scenarios for chemicals that may deplete stratospheric ozone

James K. Hammitt, Frank Camm, Peter S. Connell, William E. Mooz, Kathleen A. Wolf, Donald J. Wuebbles, Anil Bamezai

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Scenarios are developed for long-term future emissions of seven of the most important manmade chemicals that may deplete ozone and the corresponding effect on stratospheric ozone concentrations is calculated using a one-dimensional atmospheric model. The scenarios are based on detailed analysis of the markets for products that use these chemicals and span a central 90% probability interval for the chemicals' joint effect on calculated ozone abundance, assuming no additional regulations.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)711-716
Number of pages6
JournalNature
Volume330
Issue number6150
DOIs
StatePublished - 1987
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General

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