Economic Expectations and Voting Behavior in United States House and Senate Elections

James H. Kuklinski, Darrell M. West

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Past individual-level studies of economic voting (1) have incorrectly operationalized the model they employ by using past-oriented rather than future-oriented questions and (2) have failed to examine the level of economic voting in United States Senate elections. Using the 1978 National Election Study, we show that economic voting exists in Senate but not House elections, presumably due to the differences in electoral context. Even when economic voting occurs, however, there is no guarantee that the public will influence the direction of macroeconomic policy.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)436-447
Number of pages12
JournalAmerican Political Science Review
Volume75
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 1981
Externally publishedYes

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voting behavior
senate
voting
election
economics
study of economics
economic policy
election research
guarantee

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Political Science and International Relations

Cite this

Economic Expectations and Voting Behavior in United States House and Senate Elections. / Kuklinski, James H.; West, Darrell M.

In: American Political Science Review, Vol. 75, No. 2, 06.1981, p. 436-447.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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