Divergent Causes of Terrestrial Water Storage Decline Between Drylands and Humid Regions Globally

Linli An, Jida Wang, Jianping Huang, Yadu Pokhrel, Romain Hugonnet, Yoshihide Wada, Denise Cáceres, Hannes Müller Schmied, Chunqiao Song, Etienne Berthier, Haipeng Yu, Guolong Zhang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Declines in terrestrial water storage (TWS) exacerbate regional water scarcity and global sea level rise. Increasing evidence has shown that recent TWS declines are substantial in ecologically fragile drylands, but the mechanism remains unclear. Here, by synergizing satellite observations and model simulations, we quantitatively attribute TWS trends during 2002–2016 in major climate zones to three mechanistic drivers: climate variability, climate change, and direct human activities. We reveal that climate variability had transitory and limited impacts (<20%), whereas warming-induced glacier loss and direct human activities dominate the TWS loss in humid regions (∼103%) and drylands (∼64%), respectively. In non-glacierized humid areas, climate variability generated regional water gains that offset synchronous TWS declines. Yet in drylands, TWS losses are enduring and more widespread with direct human activities, particularly unsustainable groundwater abstraction. Our findings highlight the substantive human footprints on the already vulnerable arid regions and an imperative need for improved dryland water conservation.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article numbere2021GL095035
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume48
Issue number23
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 16 2021
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • climate change
  • climate variability
  • direct human activities
  • global drylands
  • quantitative attribution
  • terrestrial water storage

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geophysics
  • General Earth and Planetary Sciences

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