Computer-based scenario modeling: Application to swine industry

Peter D. Goldsmith, Jean Christophe Dissart

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


There are four recent trends in agriculture that affect the research and strategy environment: the industrialization of the sector, the privatization of data, the decline of government’s role in the sector, and the increase in industrial partners in research. In light of the changes in the industry and their affects on the research environment, this article explores the potential for computer-based scenario modeling for agribusiness research and strategic planning. To accomplish this and drawing on the theory of organizational ecology, a prototypical model of the swine industry is developed and then tested by applying a series of exogenous shocks to the system.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)281-298
Number of pages18
Issue number4
StatePublished - Jul 1998
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Food Science
  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Animal Science and Zoology
  • Agronomy and Crop Science
  • Economics and Econometrics


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