Comparative analysis of government forecasts for the Lisbon Airport

António Samagaio; Mark Wolters

doi:10.1016/j.jairtraman.2009.09.002

Comparative analysis of government forecasts for the Lisbon Airport

António Samagaio, Mark Wolters

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

The study examines the official forecasts for airline passenger numbers for the Lisbon metropolitan area. Auto-regressive and exponential smoothing models are used to develop independent forecasts for passenger numbers. The forecasts show that the government forecasts are at the top end of estimates and should be considered overly optimistic.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	213-217
Number of pages	5
Journal	Journal of Air Transport Management
Volume	16
Issue number	4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2009.09.002
State	Published - Jul 2010
Externally published	Yes

Keywords

Airline passenger forecasts
Forecasting
Government forecasts
Planning infrastructure capacity

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Transportation
Strategy and Management
Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
Law

Online availability

10.1016/j.jairtraman.2009.09.002

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Cite this

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title = "Comparative analysis of government forecasts for the Lisbon Airport",

abstract = "The study examines the official forecasts for airline passenger numbers for the Lisbon metropolitan area. Auto-regressive and exponential smoothing models are used to develop independent forecasts for passenger numbers. The forecasts show that the government forecasts are at the top end of estimates and should be considered overly optimistic.",

keywords = "Airline passenger forecasts, Forecasting, Government forecasts, Planning infrastructure capacity",

author = "Ant{\'o}nio Samagaio and Mark Wolters",

note = "Funding Information: The first author gratefully acknowledges financial support from the Funda{\c c}{\~a}o para a Ci{\^e}ncia e a Tecnologia, Portugal (SFRH/BD/35850/2007).",

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KW - Forecasting

KW - Government forecasts

KW - Planning infrastructure capacity

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Comparative analysis of government forecasts for the Lisbon Airport

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Online availability

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