Comparative analysis of government forecasts for the Lisbon Airport

António Samagaio, Mark Wolters

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


The study examines the official forecasts for airline passenger numbers for the Lisbon metropolitan area. Auto-regressive and exponential smoothing models are used to develop independent forecasts for passenger numbers. The forecasts show that the government forecasts are at the top end of estimates and should be considered overly optimistic.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)213-217
Number of pages5
JournalJournal of Air Transport Management
Issue number4
StatePublished - Jul 2010
Externally publishedYes


  • Airline passenger forecasts
  • Forecasting
  • Government forecasts
  • Planning infrastructure capacity

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Transportation
  • Strategy and Management
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
  • Law


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