Classification and moral evaluation of uncertainties in engineering modeling

C. Murphy; P. Gardoni; C. E. Harris

doi:10.1061/41170(400)51

Classification and moral evaluation of uncertainties in engineering modeling

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Abstract

Engineers must deal with risks and uncertainties as a part of their professional work and, in particular, uncertainties are inherent to engineering models. Models play a central role in engineering. Models often represent an abstract and idealized version of the mathematical properties of a target. Using models, engineers can investigate and acquire understanding of how an object or phenomenon will perform under specified conditions. This paper defines the different stages of the modeling process in engineering, classifies the various sources of uncertainty that arise in the each stage, and discusses the categories into which these uncertainties fall. The paper then considers the way uncertainty and modeling are approached in science, in order to highlight the very different criteria appropriate for the development of models and the treatment of the inherent uncertainties in engineering. Finally, the paper puts forward nine guidelines for the treatment of uncertainty in engineering modeling.

Original language	English (US)
Title of host publication	Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk
Subtitle of host publication	Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences
Pages	417-424
Number of pages	8
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1061/41170(400)51
State	Published - 2011
Externally published	Yes
Event	International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2011 and the International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2011 - Hyattsville, MD, United States Duration: Apr 11 2011 → Apr 13 2011

Publication series

Name	Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences

Other

Other	International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2011 and the International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2011
Country/Territory	United States
City	Hyattsville, MD
Period	4/11/11 → 4/13/11

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

Online availability

10.1061/41170(400)51

Library availability

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Murphy, C., Gardoni, P., & Harris, C. E. (2011). Classification and moral evaluation of uncertainties in engineering modeling. In Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences (pp. 417-424). (Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences). https://doi.org/10.1061/41170(400)51

Classification and moral evaluation of uncertainties in engineering modeling. / Murphy, C.; Gardoni, P.; Harris, C. E.
Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences. 2011. p. 417-424 (Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Murphy, C , Gardoni, P & Harris, CE 2011, Classification and moral evaluation of uncertainties in engineering modeling. in Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences. Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences, pp. 417-424, International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2011 and the International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2011, Hyattsville, MD, United States, 4/11/11. https://doi.org/10.1061/41170(400)51

Murphy C , Gardoni P, Harris CE. Classification and moral evaluation of uncertainties in engineering modeling. In Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences. 2011. p. 417-424. (Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences). doi: 10.1061/41170(400)51

Murphy, C. ; Gardoni, P. ; Harris, C. E. / Classification and moral evaluation of uncertainties in engineering modeling. Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences. 2011. pp. 417-424 (Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Analysis, Modeling, and Management - Proceedings of the ICVRAM 2011 and ISUMA 2011 Conferences).

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Classification and moral evaluation of uncertainties in engineering modeling

Abstract

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ASJC Scopus subject areas

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