Challenges in Forecasting and Monitoring the 2012 Drought

James R. Angel

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Droughts are notoriously hard to predict, and the 2012 Drought was no exception. Early forecasts for 2012 indicated dry conditions might prevail through summer but missed the magnitude of the dryness. New web-based products in 2012 enabled better and faster tracking of drought conditions. One of the most useful products was a hybrid of radar-estimated precipitation calibrated with rain gauge reports. The result is a higher-resolution and a more reliable measure of precipitation. Even so, several data and knowledge gaps remain in monitoring drought, including the impacts on crops and water supplies, as well as determining what it takes to recover from drought. This talk will review the forecast, new products, and data gaps revealed in the 2012 drought.
Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationThe Illinois River: Working Locally--Reaching Globally 15th Biennial Governor's Conference on the Managment of the Illinois River System
Volume14
StatePublished - 2013

Keywords

  • ISWS

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    Angel, J. R. (2013). Challenges in Forecasting and Monitoring the 2012 Drought. In The Illinois River: Working Locally--Reaching Globally 15th Biennial Governor's Conference on the Managment of the Illinois River System (Vol. 14)