Analytic network process for model elicitation in nation-building simulations

Ying Zhang, Rakesh Nagi, Moises Sudit

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Discrete-event simulation models are the current main tools for nation-building analysis due to the complexity of the problem. However, it is difficult to study the input-output relations in these models because of the numerous parameters as well as the complicated model structure. Model elicitation can be considered as an approximate study of the significant effects of the model without spending excessive time in multiple replications of discrete event simulation. In this paper, Analytic Network Process (ANP) is applied to model elicitation in large-scale nation-building models. It can be used to study the factor significance and the inter-influence among different kinds of factors. This new approach is strictly based on the quantitative analysis instead of the expert knowledge, which greatly improves the traditional ANP method that uses possibly conflicting human expertise. The numeric results show that this methodology provides good solutions at significantly reduced computational time compared with traditional discrete-event simulations.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publication2009 12th International Conference on Information Fusion, FUSION 2009
Pages155-162
Number of pages8
StatePublished - 2009
Externally publishedYes
Event2009 12th International Conference on Information Fusion, FUSION 2009 - Seattle, WA, United States
Duration: Jul 6 2009Jul 9 2009

Publication series

Name2009 12th International Conference on Information Fusion, FUSION 2009

Other

Other2009 12th International Conference on Information Fusion, FUSION 2009
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CitySeattle, WA
Period7/6/097/9/09

Keywords

  • Analytic network process
  • Model elicitation
  • Nation-building

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computational Theory and Mathematics
  • Computer Networks and Communications
  • Information Systems
  • Software

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