Actual Causation and Simple Voting Scenarios

Current theories of actual causation fail to capture several intuitions about simple voting scenarios because they over-correct in order to accommodate individualist intuitions about over-determination. Facts about the actual distribution of votes in an election as well as facts about the conditional default values of the votes in an election (which are presumably determined by the preferences of the voters) matter to whether a given vote counts as an actual cause of the result of the election. Causal structure plus the actual values of the variables in the model and even some intrinsic facts about those values are not enough to pick out the actual causes in general.