TY - GEN
T1 - A Plan for Characterizing Uncertainties in Extreme Environmental Loads with Climate Change Considerations
T2 - 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014
AU - Lombardo, Franklin T.
AU - Ayyub, Bilal
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2014 American Society of Civil Engineers.
PY - 2014
Y1 - 2014
N2 - Current projections suggest the frequency and intensity of some environmental extremes will be affected due to a changing climate, thereby raising questions regarding the treatment of future extreme environmental loading for the design of buildings and other structures. The estimation of future environmental loading is benefitted from the knowledge of the various uncertainties at each step of the estimation process. Possible changes due to climate add yet another uncertainty into environmental load estimation for which research has been limited. Characterization of extreme environmental loading, therefore, poses serious challenges to the engineering community. For this work, two environmental variables -wind speed and wave height -will be considered in a case study approach. Uncertainties in observations and climate projections will be identified for both variables. These uncertainties will be characterized using best available knowledge and, subsequently, will be attributed and quantified with respect to a "typical" extreme environmental load estimation process in engineering.
AB - Current projections suggest the frequency and intensity of some environmental extremes will be affected due to a changing climate, thereby raising questions regarding the treatment of future extreme environmental loading for the design of buildings and other structures. The estimation of future environmental loading is benefitted from the knowledge of the various uncertainties at each step of the estimation process. Possible changes due to climate add yet another uncertainty into environmental load estimation for which research has been limited. Characterization of extreme environmental loading, therefore, poses serious challenges to the engineering community. For this work, two environmental variables -wind speed and wave height -will be considered in a case study approach. Uncertainties in observations and climate projections will be identified for both variables. These uncertainties will be characterized using best available knowledge and, subsequently, will be attributed and quantified with respect to a "typical" extreme environmental load estimation process in engineering.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84933574750&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84933574750&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1061/9780784413609.137
DO - 10.1061/9780784413609.137
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84933574750
T3 - Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014
SP - 1363
EP - 1372
BT - Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk
A2 - Hall, Jim W.
A2 - Au, Siu-Kui
A2 - Beer, Michael
PB - American Society of Civil Engineers
Y2 - 13 July 2014 through 16 July 2014
ER -