A Plan for Characterizing Uncertainties in Extreme Environmental Loads with Climate Change Considerations: Wind Speed and Wave Height as Case Studies

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Current projections suggest the frequency and intensity of some environmental extremes will be affected due to a changing climate, thereby raising questions regarding the treatment of future extreme environmental loading for the design of buildings and other structures. The estimation of future environmental loading is benefitted from the knowledge of the various uncertainties at each step of the estimation process. Possible changes due to climate add yet another uncertainty into environmental load estimation for which research has been limited. Characterization of extreme environmental loading, therefore, poses serious challenges to the engineering community. For this work, two environmental variables -wind speed and wave height -will be considered in a case study approach. Uncertainties in observations and climate projections will be identified for both variables. These uncertainties will be characterized using best available knowledge and, subsequently, will be attributed and quantified with respect to a "typical" extreme environmental load estimation process in engineering.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationVulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk
Subtitle of host publicationQuantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014
EditorsJim W. Hall, Siu-Kui Au, Michael Beer
PublisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers
Pages1363-1372
Number of pages10
ISBN (Electronic)9780784413609
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2014
Event2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014 - Liverpool, United Kingdom
Duration: Jul 13 2014Jul 16 2014

Publication series

NameVulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014

Other

Other2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014
CountryUnited Kingdom
CityLiverpool
Period7/13/147/16/14

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

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    Lombardo, F. T., & Ayyub, B. (2014). A Plan for Characterizing Uncertainties in Extreme Environmental Loads with Climate Change Considerations: Wind Speed and Wave Height as Case Studies. In J. W. Hall, S-K. Au, & M. Beer (Eds.), Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014 (pp. 1363-1372). (Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014). American Society of Civil Engineers. https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784413609.137